← KouritenSG Store Championship
Water Ravishing MillTier 2
at KouritenSG Store Championship
decks
1
(2.9% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
4
1-2-1
overall winrate
37.5%
ELO-adjusted winrate
49.7%
avg ELO -0.2 per match
expected value
47.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.3%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1283
· median 1283
· range 1283–1283
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
953
Q1 1229
Q3 1397
1633
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Luxem Assassin | 14.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 11.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.1% | -7.9 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 8.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 8.6% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.4% | +0.6 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 5.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 5.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.6% | +12.2 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 5.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ciel | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 2.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.4% | -5.8 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Merlin | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Neos Tonoris | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Tera Mage | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Ravishing Mill decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
